This game looks evenly priced at the team level. So I am looking for value in the player to have 2 shots on goals or more market.
Mario Lemina to have two shots on target 48.0
Mario Lemina has played three games in midfield for Wolves this season, averaging 2.67 shots per 90. Most of these shots have not been on target this season, but his career average shows a shot-on-target percentage of 23%. So it’s quite possible that he can get back to his normal levels.
On the negative side, Palace have only allowed 4 shots on goal in total in their opening three games. Last season, they averaged 11 per game. They have added Jefferson Lerma to the central midfield, which has helped, but it still looks like this number is too low, and it should also average closer to 8 to 9 shots per game.
Tommy Doyle has also signed for Wolves so this is a risk to Lemina’s minutes.
Wolves have signed a replacement for Matheus Nunez in the form of Jean-Ricner Bellegarde on Friday evening. It more likely that Lemina would start in this away game and Bellegarde would be on the bench.
Lemina is priced at 48.0 (or just over 1%) to have two shots on goal during this game.
Matt Doherty to have two shots on target 50.0
Doherty is a right back who has returned to Wolves and played midweek in the Cup game, where he scored two goals and in doing so demonstrated that he is still the game full back he was during this first Wolves spell as well as with Spurs, who likes to attack the opponent’s box at every opportunity.
During his career he has averaged 0.28 shots on goal per 90 minutes.
Wolves have been defending poorly this season, so I wouldn’t be surprised if Semado is dropped in favour of Doherty for this game to help give Wolves more attacking options as well as help improve the defense.
Rayan Ait Nouri is the most likely started at left back and he is priced at 15.0 to have two shots on goals so if Doherty starts he is value at 48.0.
Gary O’Neill might even change his system to a wing back system which might push Doherty even further forward. He has played with a back four in each game (3) this season, but it can’t be ruled out. More width might help to get in behind Palace’s defence.
€20 on both Doherty and Lemina to have two shots on goal.