Martinelli to score two goals at 17.0 was the main bet of the weekend but it didn’t land this time, but how close was it and a long term winning strategy?
Martinelli scored once against Fulham but also had two other clear chances to score in the first half. One where his shot was deflected in but he was ruled offside and a later chance in the half where he went close. Arsenal went into energy conservation mode in the second half and he was subbed on 77 minutes.
It was a surprise to see Trossard start and Jesus on the bench. I would have thought that while this reduced minutes it might have increased competition and kept them pushing on. So at 17.0 for him to score twice and 120.0 for him to score three I think this had a higher probability of coming in and would place this bet again.
Bet Review: Leicester to be winning at HT at 160.0 for €4
At 31 minutes Leicester were 1-0 down and I placed a bet on them to be winning at half time at 160.0.
The reasoning being they have twice come from behind in the first half this year against Villa and Spurs.
They did come back into the game, getting a goal at 40 minutes and half three more shots on goal shortly after that and were very close to scoring. It would have been a sensational bet if it landed.
Nevertheless, this is a trend to follow for the remainder of the season.
Leicester have also been creating a high number of chances in the past two games and are worth following closely.
Bet Review: Pervis Estupinan to have a shot on target at 4.4 for €4
He have a shot on goal from inside the box but it was over the bar. He has continued his run of getting of shot off in nearly every game over the past ten games.
This wasn’t a great bet and I should avoid in future.
Bet Review: Brentfort to win against Everton, 22.0, €4
Brentford have been very resilient in their unbeaten run over the past 12 game unbeaten run but couldn’t find enough to come back. I backed them at 1-0 down. They won the xG 1.95 so did create enough chances but couldn’t convert them. I am happy enough with this bet given the odds.
Thomas Frank has a good record of making the right changes with his subs and having seen the damage that Schade did against Fulham thought he might have made more of an impact against a weak Everton defense.
However, they created one big chance after the two subs on 65 minutes but little after that.
The bank is now at €35.