While in the market and anticipating that Forest will get the better of Leeds and that Leeds will also have periods of frantic play, it might mean an end-to-end game at times.
This allows for breaks and counter attacks. Aurier has averaged 0.53 shots per 90 this season for Forest, albeit he has only had 5 shots with one of them on target, this does not have a high probability of winning, nevertheless it has value.
Leeds allow space on the wings as they prefer to control the middle. In most of Leeds recent games the opposition fullbacks have gotten shots off in the box, such as Moreno for Aston Villa (2), Burn for Newcastle (1) and Ait Nouri for Wolves (1).
Neco Williams is Aurier’s competition and he is 7.0 to have 2 shots on goal.
Update: Williams starts ahead of Aurier. I had placed €7 on Auier to have two shots on target. This will be refunded if he doesn’t start.
I still see the value in the full backs getting shots on goal and having a reasonable chance of scoring so I have placed €4 on Williams to score at 20.0.
Williams has averaged 0.4 shots on target per 90. Should be an interesting game.