Bet Preview: The Less Speculative Case for City to Hammer Chelsea

The previous post speculated on how Chelsea might get the better of Manchester City. There was too much speculation, so thoughts moved towards the idea of Manchester City putting in the level of performance they did against Manchester United and others. City have scored four goals or more in five of their league games this season. Against Leeds last week, they created the highest xG of any game this season. So what are the odds on Man City scoring at least four against Chelsea and what is the most attractive bet available?

Manchester City are 10.0 to score four and win. This looks like a reasonable price. But if they do score four it is likely Haaland will score and probably Foden too. Foden is 29.0 to score two or more and he may be fired up after a poor World Cup as well as being on the bench for the past two games – the assumption here is that he starts. He will likely be up against Azpilicueta who is definately has the beating of and should get more space if Silva and Koulabali are focusing on Haaland. The only problem from an xG point of view is that he has scored 7 but was only expected to score 3.7 so likely should be avoided.

That said I am willing to keep stakes low and speculate 6 at a price of 29.0 to score two and 4 on a hat-trick for him to score three at 140. If he scores early then a cashout or partial cashout options can be evaluated.

Bet: Foden to score 2 at 29.0 staking 6. And Foden to score 3 at 140.0 staking 4.

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