4x Return on Arsenal -1 v Brighton

Brighton are missing their two most important players today, with MacAllister expected to be unavailable after the World Cup win while Moises Caicedo is suspended.

Their expected replacements could be Gross and Gilmore who are quite different type of players. Brighton generally have a flexible squad with the group have a strong idea about what is needed by the manager in each position. However, they are weaker players that the ones who they are replacing and up against a strong Arsenal team who are creating so many chances each game, averaging and expectation of two goals a game in the their last six matches.

Chances are being created all across their attack with Odegaard (2.34 key pass per 90), Sake (2.33), Martinelli (1.68) and Nketiah (1.29). They are slightly over performing their xG but as they are on form this is not that unexpected. I also loved the way Nketiah rolled his marker against West Ham. Brighton will also look to mark him tightly.

Stake: 14 on Arsenal -1 at 4.1 on Betfair

Also a second bet on Eddie Nketiah to score a hat-trick. Stake 4 (of 270) at odds of 72.0 on Betfair. With Arsenal having the potential to create so many chances for him today and that he should likely play the majority of the game and is on bit of form it looks like a possiblity.

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