Leeds play Manchester City tonight, which is just kicking off. After reviewing team news and the probable outcome (a Big City win), I have decided to take the odds on a Riyad Mahrez hat-trick.
Leeds can leak goals, this is well known. With no Tyler Adams in midfield they have changed formation to a 4-3-3. These are two red flags (missing key defensive player and change of formation). They have also started Greenwood in midfield and Ngonto upfront. Until recently they were not playing to first team standard but have recently broken through. This is another bit of a red flag.
Haaland is the obvious source of goals, but at 1.67, 3.2, and 10 for 1, 2, or 3 goals, it’s too short. Attention on Haaland might mean space for others. If Leeds continue their pressing game, this will mean space for players like Mahrez to run into.
Staking 5 points (of 307) at 110 on a Mahrez hat-trick.
Bet Review: Riyad Mahrez played well against Forest creating the most chances in the game (6) and his shot lead to the opening goal when it was parried by the keeper and Rodri finished. He only had two shots in the game so from that point of view he wasn’t close to a scoring three goals. That said, Jack Grealish, who was playing on the left wing had at least three clear goal scoring chances, some of which were created by Riyad Mahrez. If Grealish had been supplying Mahrez, he might well have got closer to scoring three goals. If this game was played a hundred times, he would have scored a hat trick a number of times, so judgeument was OK on this bet.